Kamis, 30 September 2021
New top story on Hacker News: DMV Approves Cruise and Waymo to Operate Commercial Service in Parts of Bay Area
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New on Sports Illustrated: Week 5 College Football Betting Spotlight
Week 5 of the college football season is upon us and we’re breaking it down for all the bettors out there. In an SEC showdown, No. 12 Ole Miss travels to No. 1 Alabama. Sports Illustrated's college football analyst Richard Johnson has all of his composite best bets on this game and others up on
si.com/betting.Brand new bag: 'Bones' to caddie for J.T., limit TV
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New on Sports Illustrated: When Enemy Lines Are Blurred: Cincinnati–Notre Dame to Put Coaching Familiarity to the Test
What happens when your DC leaves for another job … at a school on your schedule that fall? The Bearcats find out this week.
The weekly ritual of football game planning is hard enough—and then, sometimes, circumstances add a fourth layer to the three-dimensional chess match of scheming for an opponent.
What happens when you don’t just know the opposing coordinator, but you know him? You know how he coaches and how he thinks. You know his situational proclivities and the rhythms of his play-calling. And you know that he knows the same things about you. That is the challenge for Cincinnati’s coaching staff as it prepares to face
Notre Dame on Saturday, because Irish defensive coordinator Marcus Freeman spent four years as an architect of the Bearcats’ Blackcat defense.“You can know too much,” Cincy coach Luke Fickell says. “Then, when you know too much you try to stop everything, and it makes it difficult because there’s only so much that you can do and only so much that you can expect kids to understand. Sometimes knowing too much is not a good thing.”
If you need to get all the way to a sixth degree of separation to connect any two major college football coaches, you probably aren’t looking in the right place. Consider Fickell and Freeman’s overlaps. Fickell, a standout defensive lineman at Ohio State in the mid-1990s, was a graduate assistant with the Buckeyes in ’99 before leaving to coach at Akron for two years. In 2001, when the Zips played the Buckeyes, he knew OSU’s personnel but not the coaching staff, as it was Jim Tressel’s first year at the helm. Fickell would soon become acquainted when he went to work for Tressel and Ohio State in various roles from ’02 to ’16 (Tressel’s nephew Mike is the current Cincinnati defensive coordinator, replacing Freeman).
As linebackers coach in Columbus, Fickell coached Freeman directly as the Buckeyes made it to back-to-back national title games in the 2006 and ’07 seasons. Freeman went on to the NFL, where he had to medically retire, and then surprised his old coach in ’10 by calling to ask to join the Buckeyes’ coaching staff as a graduate assistant.

Matt Cashore/USA TODAY Sports; Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer/USA TODAY Network
“I don’t think this is what you really want to do,” Fickell recalls telling Freeman. He said Freeman was so smart and not the typical “meathead that only wants to play football and coach football.”
Fickell tried to send him under Ohio State AD Gene Smith’s wing and down the administrative route. But when a different football GA was unable to join the staff, as Fickell tells it, Freeman came on in the end and was a graduate assistant for a year before beginning his assistant career in full with stints at Kent State and Purdue under Darrell Hazell (a former Ohio State assistant coach).
In 2016 the Purdue coaches were fired and Fickell was hired at Cincinnati. Freeman and another assistant were among the first calls Fickell made to put a staff together. Freeman temporarily moved into Fickell’s Columbus home to help put plans in place for the full move to the Queen City. Fickell was working two jobs at the time, getting his Buckeyes defense ready to play a College Football Playoff game by day and building a plan for the Bearcats with roommates Freeman and running backs coach Doug Phillips by night.
Any familiarity with Ohio State didn’t help much when it faced the playoff-bound Buckeyes early in the 2019 season, but a few weeks later, the chief innovation of Freeman’s time in Cincinnati got a full debut against UCF: a new base defense to take space away from increasingly spread-out offenses in the AAC.

Freeman and the defensive staff came into that season expecting to stick with the base four-down linemen D that powered them to 11 wins in 2018, but days before the ’19 season started, one of the team’s starting safeties was lost for the year with a knee injury. His replacement’s strong suit wasn’t playing down in the box manned up against a slot receiver. So the Bearcats tinkered with substituting a defensive lineman off the field and adding a fifth defensive back, dubbed the “dollar” safety. The move took some getting used to for Fickell, a four-down guy at heart, but it paid dividends and the Knights scored only 24 points (their second-lowest in any game from ’17 to ’20) against Cincy’s Dollar. The Bearcats went on to the AAC title game.
Notre Dame declined to make Freeman available for this story, but Freeman did speak to Chris Vasseur of the Make Defense Great Again podcast in March about that Cincinnati defense.
“The whole premise of it was that we wanted to put people in space,” he said on the podcast. “When you play the UCFs, you play the Tulsas, you play the Houstons now, some of those spread teams that make you defend 53 ⅓ blades of grass [the width of a football field] … a lot of these RPO teams, a lot of these Air Raid teams are looking for space.”
The defense has some similarities to the tite front popularized by Iowa State, albeit with different principles built in regarding use of man coverage and how players fit the run. That ISU defense is coordinated by Jon Heacock, who was Freeman’s defensive coordinator at Kent State. Heacock’s brother, Jim, also coached at Ohio State from 1996 to 2011, overlapping heavily with both Fickell and Freeman.
At Notre Dame, Freeman took over a defense that had made its bones for years under Clark Lea with a 4-2-5 base (replacing a linebacker with a hybrid defensive end while still using five defensive backs). He’s not running the exact system he ran at Cincinnati so far, but there are many similarities.
“There are some nuances to what [the Irish] do now that are different than when they were here, so it’ll be interesting to game-plan those and see what things we feel like we can do,” Cincinnati offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock says. “So, as much as it is the same structure defensively to a certain extent, there’s also some new things that they’ve added to it and some changes they’ve made to the base way that they played defense when Marcus was here that’ll make it a little more of a challenge for sure.”
Those changes are garnering results. Against both Purdue and Wisconsin, the Irish were very stout after shaky opening performances against Florida State and Toledo.
So with all of the Bearcats’ knowledge of Freeman and how he approaches the game, what’s usable? That’s the question for them to sift through during this week of game-planning.
Denbrock and Cincinnati passing game coordinator Gino Guidugli immediately used the same word when describing what kind of play-caller Freeman is: “aggressive.” That comes through in how the DC described his approach to defense to Vasseur.
“I’m not trying to beat you in a chess match; that’s not my philosophy,” Freeman said. “I believe that hey, we’re going to be multiple, but we’re going to do what we do in terms of our kids are not gonna get confused. They’re gonna get good at the things we ask them to do.”
Freeman believes playing hard and playing physical is a fundamental skill that can be improved upon, and instead of spending a lot of time trying to have an answer for every route combo an offense can give you, one should work on fundamentals and be great at those.
“Are you playing defenses or are you playing defense?” Freeman said on Make Defense Great Again.
Cincinnati’s coaches know to expect a boatload of man coverage, but Guidugli says they’re noticing more zone coverage out of Notre Dame than they came to expect from Freeman at Cincinnati. It’s not just the staff’s familiarity with some of the defensive looks it may go against; it’s the players’ as well. While the Bearcats have not yet faced whatever changes Freeman is employing in South Bend, they play against the defense all the time in spring practice and fall camp.
Yes, Freeman and Denbrock know each other as opposing play-callers, but that is not rare in this profession—although it adds some juice to Saturday’s top-10 clash. Nobody has more familiarity with Notre Dame in general than Denbrock. He coached with Brian Kelly at Grand Valley State in the 1990s and at ND with Kelly from 2010 to ’16.
Denbrock knows Freeman better than most defensive coordinators, and vice versa. What advantage it affords either side will play out on the field. There are X’s and O’s micro advantages to consider, but there is also the Jimmys and Joes element of coaching against a friend.
It would be easier if there was some animosity, but Denbrock assures that there isn’t. The motivation of going up against a friend is what makes this week truly special.
“It’s like you and your brother out in the driveway playing basketball,” he says. “No way did you ever want your brother to ever beat you because you’d have to sit at the dinner table and listen to it. It’s kinda the same type of mentality.
“Lifelong friendships aren’t at stake over the outcome of the game on Saturday, but quite frankly, catching the crap you’re gonna have to deal with for losing the game is not gonna be easy.”
More College Coverage:
• Taulia Tagovailoa Is Resurrecting Maryland's QB Position
• College Football Week 5 Expert Predictions
• College Football Hot Seat Check
Cards tab Wainwright to start NL Wild Card game
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Rabu, 29 September 2021
NBA 2K adds Mexican team in global expansion
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New on Sports Illustrated: National Labor Relations Board Rules College Football Players Are Employees, Can Unionize
College football players athletes in revenue-producing sports are employees of their schools, the National Labor Relations Board’s said in a memo Wednesday.

Jeff Hanisch/USA TODAY Sports
College football players and some other athletes in revenue-producing sports are employees of their schools, the National Labor Relations Board’s top lawyer said in a memo Wednesday that would allow players at private universities to unionize and otherwise negotiate over their working conditions.
NLRB General Counsel Jennifer Abruzzo also threatened action against schools, conferences and the NCAA if they continue to use the term “student-athlete,” saying that it was created to obscure the employment relationship with college athletes and discourage them from pursuing their rights.“The freedom to engage in far-reaching and lucrative business enterprises makes players at academic institutions much more similar to professional athletes who are employed by a team to play a sport, while simultaneously pursuing business ventures to capitalize on their fame and increase their income,” the memo said.
Neither the NCAA nor representatives for the five largest athletic conferences immediately responded to a request for comment from The Associated Press.
The nine-page NLRB memo revisited a case involving Northwestern football players who were thwarted from forming a union when the board in 2015 said that taking their side “would not promote stability in labor relations.”
Abruzzo’s memo noted that much has changed since then, including a unanimous Supreme Court decision this year that lifted restrictions on some forms of compensation for college athletes.
Abruzzo also noted that players across the country had engaged in collective action following the killing of George Floyd — actions that “directly concerns terms and conditions of employment, and is protected concerted activity.”
More College Football Coverage:
New on Sports Illustrated: College Football Week 5 Best Bets: Composite Ratings Pick the Winners
The Composite nailed it in Week 4 with redemptive and profitable results.
The SI Composite struck back in Week 4. After a few hard-luck results, things broke right in a big way at seven games over .500. Early in the day, we were 10-5-1, and yes, it's simply a product of sequencing on the day's schedule, but that lead held as the Composite finished positive for the first time this season. The underlying numbers are phasing preseason projections out, so we're learning more about teams.
Conference play is here, which means more like-for-like matchups with a little bit less variance. For instance, backups playing in early season out of conference blowouts.
With that being said, the season is a marathon, and we're still not even halfway through, and variance comes for us all in the end.
Last week: 32-25-1 (56%)
Season: 96-106-3 (47.6%)
Composite Best Bets
DOWNLOAD:
PDF or VIEW AS WEBPAGEGet fantasy and betting analysis in your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter: SI.com/newsletters
The process behind the picks is briefly explained in my Week 1 column. Most of the time, the computer spits out something within one or two points of the real line (and at that point, sharp plays and whale plays are what’s moving the line anyway). But if the computer gives something more than three points, it’s worth a second look.
Favorites
-BYU (-8) over Utah State
-Memphis (-11.5) over Temple
-Texas (-4.5) over TCU
-Appalachian State (-9.5) over Georgia State
-USC (-7) over Colorado
-Eastern Michigan (-1) over Northern Illinois
-Tulane (-3.5) over ECU
-UCF (-15.5) over Navy
-Florida (-8) over Kentucky
-Oklahoma (-10.5) over Kansas State
-Army (-5.5) over Ball State
Dogs
-Michigan (+1) over Wisconsin
-Syracuse (+5) over Florida State
-Troy (+7) over South Carolina
-Ole Miss (+14.5) over Alabama
-Boston College (+16) over Clemson
The Big Dogs
-Arkansas (+19.5) over Georgia
-Louisiana-Monroe (+32.5) over Coastal Carolina
-Rutgers (+16) over Ohio State
More Betting:
• NFL Player Prop Bets: Week 4 Thursday Night Football
• NFL Week 4 Preview: Early Line Movement & Odds Tracking
• College Football Playoff Championship Betting Futures Breakdown
New on Sports Illustrated: After a Decade of Misery, Taulia Tagovailoa Is Resurrecting Maryland's QB Position
After a decade of unbelievably bad luck and dismal quarterback play, the Terps have found their savior under center.
There is voodoo here, in College Park.
There must be, says C.J. Brown, the former Maryland quarterback.
How else do you explain what happened at the QB position at this place over the last decade?
Bad luck? No single person or program has this bad of luck.
A fluke? No no, it’s happened too many times to be deemed flukish.
Cursed? Maybe so. Maybe the quarterback gods just hate the Terrapins.
“Nobody can explain it,” says Johnny Holliday, in his 43rd year as Maryland football’s play-by-play voice.

Brad Mills/USA TODAY Sports
Truth be told, Brown himself was there in 2010 for the start of it all, when this alleged voodoo, this awful curse, descended upon the program. The 10-year stretch of quarterbacking is unrivaled in college football. No program can attest to such inefficiency and instability at the game’s most important position.
In this, Maryland stood alone. It was a quarterbacking graveyard, an infirmary for passers. How the Terps won 38 games over that stretch seems like a miracle in itself.
In 10 years, 11 quarterbacks started at least one game and eight of them started at least seven games. Included in that is a walk-on and a linebacker-turned-quarterback.
More than half of those QBs averaged less than 150 passing yards per start and only one topped the 200-yard mark. Three of them threw more interceptions than touchdowns. In fact, in 2015, Maryland quarterbacks combined to throw a nation-high 29 interceptions, six more than the next highest FBS team and 16 more than the average.
During the stretch, one signal-caller tore his ACL in consecutive seasons, and three QBs tore ACLs in the same year. In all, at least a half-dozen of the QBs suffered some kind of season-ending injury.
Brown has the luxury of being the only quarterback to start every game of a season over that dismal decade.
“There's definitely bad luck in there,” Brown says. “One year, we ended up starting a true freshman linebacker. Maybe there’s some voodoo stuff going on.”
“You can’t make it up,” Holliday bemoans.
This place is scarred because of it, so emotionally damaged that longtime friends of the program are both excited about the emergence of their QB savior, Taulia Tagovailoa, while also afraid that the bad juju is coming for him like it came for the rest.
“Everybody is still cautiously optimistic that he’s real,” says Mike Locksley, the team’s third-year coach.
He is, in fact, real—all 5-foot-11, 200 pounds of him. And he is, in fact, good—already having amassed three 300-yard passing games this season. Before he arrived at Maryland in 2020, the program had gone 82 consecutive games without a 300-yard passer, a further indictment of its recent QB history.

Ben Queen/USA TODAY Sports
Tagovailoa is on pace to set the school’s single-season passing mark by 600 yards. Only six quarterbacks nationally have thrown for more yards (1,340), only nine have tossed more touchdowns (10) and only two have a better completion rate (75.5%).
Locksley compares his quarterback to a guy named Johnny Manziel, a play-extending, deep-ball passing athlete with escapability who, the coach puts it, is “super accurate.”
So maybe the witch doctor is gone? The voodoo is out? The curse is over?
Maybe. At least for now, Tagovailoa has the Terps one victory from their first 5–0 start in 20 years. They’ve beaten
West Virginia, won at Illinois and routed Howard and Kent State, setting up a Big Ten showdown on Friday against No. 5 Iowa (4–0).It’s the toughest test yet for Maryland’s quarterback savior, the one with the famous brother and notoriously hard-charging father. Many know the story by now. The Tagovailoa brothers, Tua and Taulia, were groomed as quarterback robots in Hawaii before moving to Alabama, where the older son starred for the Crimson Tide and evolved into a first-round draft pick.
And what of the younger son? Lia, as they call him, signed with Nick Saban, too. But he transferred here after his freshman season in 2019 to “do his own thing,” he says.
Taulia never even visited campus. He didn’t have to. The man who recruited him to Alabama and coordinated his brother’s electric offenses was the head coach.
“Before I went into the portal, I had my mind set —I’m going to Maryland,” he says. The only other team he considered was Miami, which then employed another former Tide coordinator, Dan Enos, who now just so happens to be Maryland’s OC.
The gang's all back together.
And with it has come an electric unit. Maryland is eighth nationally in passing offense and 13th in total offense. Friday night in College Park will feature the unstoppable force against the immovable object. The Hawkeyes own the third-best scoring defense in the country, a quintessential Kirk Ferentz team that makes few mistakes on offense and swallows opposing quarterbacks.
In front of a nationally televised audience on FS1, Maryland’s quarterback resurgence is put to the ultimate test. It can’t be any worse than the last decade.
The Terps have struggled to find a consistent QB since coach Ralph Friedgen was fired in 2010. But these issues linger many more decades. The school hasn’t developed an NFL QB since Shaun Hill (2000–01) and hasn’t had a QB drafted since 1991, when Scott Zolak was selected in the fourth round.
And to think, at one point, the university dubbed itself as “Quarterback U,” says Locksley, a Washington D.C. native who rooted for the Terps as a child. “My era growing up we had great quarterbacks.”
Starting in 1984, a Maryland quarterback was selected in three straight drafts: Boomer Esiason (1984), Frank Reich (1985) and Stan Gelbaugh (1986). After their exits, the program had just two winnings seasons in the next 14 until Friedgen arrived in 2001.
Ten years later, the quarterback—and head coach—merry-go-round began. The Terps have had five different head coaches since. The QB failures started on the recruiting trail.
In 10 signing classes from 2009–2018, Maryland signed 13 quarterbacks. Six eventually transferred, four completed their careers in College Park, two moved positions and one retired from the sport. Of the 13, five never threw a single pass.

Among the group of 13, the stats are dismal. None of them finished their career with better than a 59% completion rate in games they started. Three of the seven who played significantly fell below the 50% mark. Two had more interceptions than touchdowns. And together, they averaged a paltry 168 yards passing per start.
If Maryland quarterbacks weren’t struggling, they were injured.
Consider this: In 2012, Maryland had to start Shawn Petty, a linebacker, after four different quarterbacks suffered season-ending injuries. In 2017, they lost three more quarterbacks to injury and started a walk-on, Ryan Brand, late in the season against Michigan.
“It’s one of those situations where you never think you could get into,” says Randy Edsall, the coach at Maryland from 2011 until his firing in 2015, of that ’12 season. “We tried to put together game plans that worked to Shawn’s advantage. Never been through that before.
“I don’t know if you want to call it bad luck or what,” he says.
Voodoo, maybe?
“Well,” says Edsall, “one of the issues was we had Dwayne Haskins committed and I got fired mid-year. We were going to have a quarterback. I got let go after the Ohio State game. Dwayne was committed to us and was all set to go. He ended up going to Ohio State.”
Some attribute the QB struggles to the coaching and coordinator turnover. Scott McBrien, the Terps quarterback in 2002–03, served as a color analyst for the school’s radio broadcast during that dismal decade of play under center.
Over the course of those years, the team had five different offensive coordinators and five completely different offensive systems, he says. There was James Franklin’s West Coast offense (2010), then Gary Crowton’s no-huddle hurry-up (2011), followed by Locksley’s multiple spread look (2012–15). Walt Bell brought in a five-receiver scheme that called for the QB to check with the sideline for calls (2016–17) and then Matt Canada’s system was derived from the jet sweep. Enos took over for Scottie Montgomery, who employed the scheme Locksley used at Alabama.
“You can’t have quarterbacks running multiple different offenses every other year,” McBrien says.
Asked about Maryland’s quarterback history, Taulia Tagovailoa gives a verbal shrug.
“Not too sure,” he says. “I’m just here to win football games.”

Ben Queen/USA TODAY Sports
Taulia is like his brother in many ways, Locksley says. The mannerisms, his quick release, his competitive nature and his preparation. For instance, Taulia brings a notebook virtually everywhere he goes. He writes down everything Locksley tells him.
“You got to be careful what you say,” the coach says. “It’s going to come back to haunt you if you’re not consistent in what you tell him.”
He’s unlike his brother in many ways too. Growing up, Taulia was the chubby one, he says, but he could snap the ball. He started in football as his brother’s center.
Nowadays, he considers himself “Tua 2.0,” and he’s okay with that. Who’s the better passer? Who’s the fastest runner? Who’s the best overall quarterback? Taulia shrugs off those questions and turns to a much more serious contest.
“A lot of people tell me I’m the better looking one,” he chuckles.
Perhaps it’s good Taulia is unaware of the Maryland quarterback voodoo. In fact, yes, keep it from him forever. No one tell him a word. No utter. No hint.
All of that is in the past now. For Maryland, its eyes are forward on its savior at this cursed position.
“You finally got a guy and you say, ‘Here’s the guy we’ve been looking for,’” Holliday says. “We hold our breaths now.”
More College Coverage:
• Ranking All 10 FBS Conferences in 2021
• What a 12-Team Playoff Would Look Like After Week 4
• College Football Hot Seat Check
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Selasa, 28 September 2021
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Senin, 27 September 2021
Nagy: All 3 Bears QBs being considered for start
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New top story on Hacker News: Japan breaks world record for fastest internet speed
44 by thunderbong | 39 comments on Hacker News.
Bengals' Boyd: Steelers 'gave up' late in loss
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Minggu, 26 September 2021
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New top story on Hacker News: Ask HN: How do you do estimates in 2021?
13 by buttonsmasher | 7 comments on Hacker News.
For context, I am a manager at a medium sized enterprise software company, I worked as an engineer for 10+ years and took over managing the team. We have 80+ engineers in the entire org. broken down into smaller teams of 5-10. My team specifically has about 15 engineers broken down into teams of 3-5. We have a very challenging roadmap and often we end up delivering 20-30% of what's planned for the year. One thing that's often asked is how do we estimate, how do we predict when some feature will be done. We are close to 20+ years into the usage of Agile methods, there is the school of thought who prefer to use time based estimates, some try story points and then there is the No Estimates movement. I am trying to see what's considered as a best practice to start something for the team in 2021.
New top story on Hacker News: Racketscript/Racketscript: Racket to JavaScript Compiler
22 by lycopodiopsida | 2 comments on Hacker News.
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New on Sports Illustrated: Police: Utah Football Player Aaron Lowe Killed in Shooting
A University of Utah football player has been killed in a shooting at a house party early Sunday, Salt Lake City police said.
SALT LAKE CITY — A University of Utah football player has been killed in a shooting at a house party early Sunday,
Salt Lake City police said.The shooting that killed Aaron Lowe occurred just after midnight, only hours after the Utes beat Washington State 24-13.
Police said another victim in the attack was in critical condition and authorities were searching for a suspect.
Lowe was the first recipient of a memorial scholarship created to honor former Utah player Ty Jordan, a 19-year-old tailback who died after an accidental shooting in December 2020.
Jordan and Lowe were high school teammates in Mesquite, Texas.
After Jordan died, Lowe switched his jersey number from No. 2 to No. 22 to honor his friend.
Utah Gov. Spencer Cox tweeted his condolences to the family of Lowe, a reserve cornerback who was in his third season with the Utes and mainly played on special teams.
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Utah football player Lowe killed in SLC shooting
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Sabtu, 25 September 2021
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New on Sports Illustrated: College Football Week 4 Bets: Odds, Lines, Spreads, Analysis & Picks
A closer look at several key Week 4 NCAAF games for bettors to target among Saturday's college football slate.
As temperatures begin to drop, football fans will see the collegiate games on the gridiron heat up. On Saturday, we have three tremendous matchups bettors should look to exploit.
Last season the information shared here at SI Betting finished 32-21 (60.3 %) ATS on the NCAA Football season, including 7-2 (78 %) ATS on official 2020 Bowl plays.

Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
Week 4 Betting Breakdown
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
•Spread: Georgia -35 (-110) | Vanderbilt +35 (-110)
•Moneyline: Georgia (-10000) | Vanderbilt (+2500)
•Total: 53– Over (-110) | Under 53 (-110)
•Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: GEO 69% | VAN: 31%
•Game Info: Saturday September 25, 2021 12:00 pm ET | SECN
The line has continued to rise since No. 2 Georgia opened as a -33.5-point favorite as respected steam continues to arrive, backing the Bulldogs over Vanderbilt (1-2 SU; 0-2 ATS) with a line currently displaying Georgia as 35-point favorites at
SI Sportsbook.Georgia (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) has outscored Clemson, UAB and South Carolina by a combined score of 106-23. The Bulldogs defense has been suffocating to start the season, only allowing one touchdown in 12 quarters. Arguably the best defense in the country is solidly complemented by JT Daniels on the other side of the ball, piloting an improving offensive attack led by star running back Zamir White on the ground.
Vanderbilt, who ranks last in the SEC in points scored, will be hard-pressed to not be down by the game spread by halftime. Georgia has won eight of the last 10 matchups against the Commodores - outscoring them 71-19 over the last two meetings. This game will only add to the domination the Bulldogs have displayed in recent years.
By The Data
SI BET: Georgia -35 (-110)

LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
•Spread: LSU -2.5 (-110) | Mississippi St +2.5(-110)
•Moneyline: LSU (-135) | Mississippi St (+115)
•Total: 56.5– Over (-110) | Under 56.5 (-110)
•Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: LSU: 63% | MSST: 37%
•Game Info: Saturday September 25, 2021 12:00 pm EST | ESPN
The line has dropped since its opening in favor of LSU (2-1; 1-2 ATS) as 3.5-point favorites over Mississippi State (2-1 SU; 1-2 ATS) at SI Sportsbook to a line now standing at just 2.5-points in favor of the visiting Tigers.
Pay attention to the reverse line movement in this matchup as over 63-percent of the public money has arrived backing LSU, but oddsmakers have moved the line in the opposite direction as respected money is on the opposite side in this matchup.
LSU will be looking to avenge last season’s 44-34 loss against the Bulldogs, but in Vegas, respected steam believes Will Rogers and the Mississippi State No. 1 SEC passing attack will be the difference in this contest.
Look for this game to be close between these two SEC rivals, with the Bulldogs coming out on top. Back Mississippi, who has covered five of the last seven meetings, and grab the points on Saturday.
By The Data
SI BET: Mississippi State +2.5 (-110)
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
•Spread: Kansas State +6 (-110) | Oklahoma State +6 (-110)
•Moneyline: Kansas State (+195) | Oklahoma State (-225)
•Total: 46– Over (-110) | Under 46 (-110)
•Public (Spread) Betting Percentages: KSU: 41% | OKST: 59%
•Game Info: Saturday September 25, 2021 7:00 pm EST | ESPN+
The line has dropped from its opening of Oklahoma State as 7.5-point favorites after strong pro support in favor of No. 25 Kansas State. Money continues to arrive on the underdog with a line currently displaying the Cowboys as just a 6-point home favorite at SI Sportsbook.
Pay attention to the reverse line movement in this matchup as over 59-percent of the public money has arrived backing Oklahoma State, but oddsmakers have moved the line in the opposite direction as respected money is on the opposite side in this matchup.
Kansas State (3-0 SU; 2-1 ATS) will be looking to start Big 12 play with a win after three non-conference victories that finds the Wildcats cracking the top-25. On the flip side, Oklahoma State (3-0 SU; 1-2 ATS) is also unbeaten and will try to use the Cowboy faithful in Stillwater to their advantage.
Kansas State dual-threat signal-caller Will Howard will be filling in for injured starting quarterback Skylar Thompson for the second consecutive game. The Wildcats will rely upon its stout run defense that ranks third in the Big 12, only allowing 54.7 yards per game. In addition, Kansas State’s electric running back Deuce Vaughn is easily the biggest key to a Wildcat victory. Vaughn leads the Big 12 in rushing (371 yards) while also adding five touchdowns on the ground. The speedy back will look to make it six straight 100 yard-plus rushing games.
By The Data
- Oklahoma State is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games dating back to 2020
- The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS overall dating back to last season
- Kansas State is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Oklahoma State
SI BET: Kansas State +6 (-120)
SI BET REVIEW
Utah kept us from going 3-0 ATS last week when they were upset by San Diego State in overtime. Let’s continue our winning ways on Saturday!
2021 SI Betting NCAA Football: 5-5 ATS
2020 SI Betting NCAA Football: 31-21 ATS
2020 SI Betting Bowl Selections: 7-2 ATS
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help: Call 1-800-522-4700
Frankie Taddeo is a successful high-stakes fantasy football player who created the first-ever DFS program ever offered in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Frankie is SI Betting's Senior Analyst and provides his significant experience and resources in the sports betting scene. You can follow Frankie on Twitter @Frankie_Fantasy for his latest betting and fantasy insights from Las Vegas.
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I know of lobsters, reddit, and metafilter.
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New on Sports Illustrated: College Football Week 4 Best Bets: Composite Ratings Pick the Winners
We are one week closer to having a composite that doesn't rely on preseason rankings
We inch our way to full conference play with a few more games picked this week (58 FBS vs. FBS matchups in total). That means tighter spreads with fewer guaranteed games on the schedule between Power 5 and Group of 5 teams. But, of course, the SI Composite projects Georgia to beat Vanderbilt by 38 points, so there are still big spreads to be had if that's your angle to picking.
We also inch our way toward rating systems phasing out preseason priors. The Composite does not generate its own numbers soup-to-nuts, it simply averages some of the best predictive analytics systems around, but for an idea of what preseason priors can do, a tweet from ESPN's Bill Connelly is helpful. Connelly runs SP+, a wonderful analytic rating.
In Connelly’s actual rankings that include priors, those teams are, respectively are Michigan (6th), Georgia (2nd), Ole Miss (12th), Texas Tech (48th) and Florida (8th).
So preseason priors matter, and we can't throw them all the way out until we get enough of a sample size from this hopelessly small sample-sized sport. The hope for the SI Composite is that once more games are in and we’re relying on the data from this season, the wins come at a higher rate.
Get fantasy and betting analysis in your inbox by signing up for the Winners Club newsletter: SI.com/newsletters
Before the picks, a brief check-in with UConn (again), in the running to be one of the worst teams ever. The “good” news in the wonky macabre sense of the term we brought up last week is that UConn's rating dropped again to -31.63 despite the fact that they scored against an FBS opponent finally. The bad news is that Clemson’s composite rating actually fell to 19.85 too. That’ll happen when you struggle with Georgia Tech at home in a game the SI Composite got right (we’ve had some hard luck this season, gotta pat ourselves on the back for the wins when we get ‘em).
Last week: 24-28-0 46.15%
Season: 64-81-2 44.22%
Composite Best Bets
DOWNLOAD: PDF or VIEW AS WEBPAGE
The process behind the picks is briefly explained in my Week 1 column. Most of the time, the computer spits out something within one or two points of the real line (and at that point, sharp plays and whale plays are what’s moving the line anyway). But if the computer gives something more than three points, it’s worth a second look.
Favorites
-Minnesota (-31) over Bowling Green
-Boise State (-9) over Utah State
-Georgia (-34.5) over Vanderbilt
-Iowa (-23) over Colorado State
-Louisiana (-13.5) over Georgia Southern
-Buffalo (-13) over Old Dominion
-UNC (-12) over Georgia Tech
-Indiana (-9.5) over Western Kentucky
Dogs
-SMU (+10) over TCU
-Nebraska (+5) over Michigan State
-North Texas (+12) Louisiana
-Colorado (+14.5) over Arizona State
The Big Dogs
-UNLV (+30.5) over Fresno State
-Ohio (+15) over Northwestern
-Georgia State (+27) Auburn
-Rutgers (+18.5) over Michigan
-Tennessee (+20) over Florida
-Southern Miss (+45) over Alabama
-USF (+23) over BYU
More Betting:
• NFL Player Prop Bets: Week 3 Thursday Night Football
• NFL Week 3 Preview: Early Line Movement & Odds Tracking
• College Football Playoff Championship Betting Futures Breakdown
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